Maurice Greene vs. Marcos Rogerio De Lima, full fight breakdown + betting analysis

Maurice Greene vs. Marcos Rogerio De Lima

Weight Class: Heavyweight 265 lbs

Both De Lima and Greene have had up and down UFC careers. Were it not for a Hail Mary submission against Gian Villante, in a fight he was losing, Maurice Greene could be riding a lengthy losing streak.

He came up short in an entertaining, fight of the night scrap with Aleksei Oleinik at UFC 246. He was ultimately submitted after threatening several himself. Submission game is definitely something Greene has demonstrated at an above average level, and De Lima has been susceptible to submissions.

For De Lima, he has been going 1-1 in consecutive fights for quite awhile. He is somewhat small for the division, but has solid pace and power. He is good at working his way into the pocket and landing power hooks.

De Lima also has a very heavy power leg kick, which I think will be a huge factor in this one. Greene leans heavy on his front leg and due to his height, his legs are somewhat skinny. If De Lima can land just one or two power leg kicks, it could spell big problems for Greene.

Ultimately, it’s impossible to make a definitive read in this one. Greene looked to be in great shape at weigh ins and he will likely be looking at a cut with an L here. De Lima could really use a win himself, as time is ticking for the veteran as well.

Ultimately, I have to go with De Lima in this one. Greene hasn’t shown an ability to do much on the feet outside pattering front kicks, which I expect De Lima to be rather unphased by. I do think De Lima by KO is worth a bet, but ultimately, there’s nothing definitive here.

I’m taking a shot on De Lima ML and KO, but I’ll tell you straight up that it’s far from my most confident read.

Prediction and play: Marcos Rogerio De Lima moneyline (-180)

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