Jake Matthews vs. Sean Brady, full fight breakdown + betting analysis

Jake Matthews (+184) vs. Sean Brady (-220)

Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)

Philadelphia’s Sean Brady will be looking to remain unbeaten when he takes on Jake Matthews at UFC 259. This fight presents a massive opportunity for both fighters and the winner should certainly see their stock rise.

For Brady, he is coming off of his first UFC submission just a few months back. Prior to that, he won crafty decisions against Court McGee and Ismail Naurdiev.

As for Jake Matthews, the Australian has more UFC fights under his belt and more importantly, more victories. Matthews is 6-2 in the UFC outright and also lost to Kevin Lee in an Ultimate Fighter season finale. Matthews has secured wins over Emil Meek, Li Jingliang, and most recently, Diego Sanchez.

Stylistically, Sean Brady is an excellent wrestler. He wears his opponents down with heavy top pressure and does a great job of setting up his take downs. The striking is every improving and he is more than competent if forced to box for a round or two. Matthews is no slouch on the ground himself and has more of an extensive striking background.

Ultimately, it’s tough to measure Brady’s ceiling before this fight. With that said, I do think Brady will have a number next to his name very soon and should be a top contender for years to come. Matthews is a tough test, but ultimately, I do think that Sean Brady is on another level.

I think Brady gets it done, likely by decision, with heavy wrestling. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see an improvement in the striking game either, as grappling heavy fighters tend to get better as they go along. Brady has a solid boxing base and should improve either here or in the near future.

Betting wise, I’m placing one unit on Sean Brady spaced out over two parlays. I’m also using Sean Brady moneyline in a five-leg parlay that I’m using in a parlay insurance promotion via FanDuel Sportsbook, which may not be available in every state.